Livorno vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VNZ
0 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MES
1 - 0
LIV
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
MAN
0 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MAN
2 - 2
VNZ
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |