Scottish Championship round 20

Livingston vs Raith Rovers analysis

Livingston Raith Rovers
60 ELO 58
13.5% Tilt 13.7%
1436º General ELO ranking 1298º
16º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Livingston
23.6%
Draw
23.2%
Raith Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Livingston
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Livingston
+24%
-11%
Raith Rovers

ELO progression

Livingston
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2013
LIV
Livingston
2 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
43%
26%
31%
59 65 6 0
22 Dec. 2012
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 1
Livingston
LIV
41%
25%
34%
59 56 3 0
08 Dec. 2012
LIV
Livingston
2 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
38%
25%
36%
58 64 6 +1
01 Dec. 2012
LIV
Livingston
0 - 2
Dundee
DUN
54%
23%
23%
60 60 0 -2
24 Nov. 2012
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 0
Livingston
LIV
54%
24%
23%
61 66 5 -1

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2013
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
65%
20%
15%
59 49 10 0
02 Jan. 2013
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
61%
21%
18%
59 63 4 0
29 Dec. 2012
RAI
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Cowdenbeath
CWB
58%
23%
19%
59 56 3 0
15 Dec. 2012
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
57%
24%
19%
59 65 6 0
08 Dec. 2012
RAI
Raith Rovers
3 - 3
Greenock Morton
GRE
49%
25%
26%
59 58 1 0