Scottish Premiership Jor. 13

Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Livingston Dunfermline Athletic FC
74 ELO 72
-6.9% Tilt 10.6%
1524º General ELO ranking 1808º
18º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Livingston
25.3%
Draw
27.3%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
Livingston
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.3%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Livingston
-11%
+9%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Livingston
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Livingston
Livingston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2002
STJ
St. Johnstone
0 - 0
Livingston
LIV
24%
25%
51%
74 64 10 0
26 Oct. 2002
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 5
Livingston
LIV
40%
25%
35%
73 67 6 +1
19 Oct. 2002
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 3
Livingston
LIV
37%
26%
37%
73 68 5 0
06 Oct. 2002
LIV
Livingston
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
39%
26%
35%
73 77 4 0
03 Oct. 2002
LIV
Livingston
4 - 3
Sturm Graz
STR
30%
26%
45%
72 80 8 +1

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 4
Celtic
CEL
31%
25%
45%
73 81 8 0
22 Oct. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 0
Falkirk
FAL
62%
21%
17%
72 62 10 +1
19 Oct. 2002
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
26%
29%
72 72 0 0
05 Oct. 2002
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
4 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
58%
23%
19%
71 67 4 +1
28 Sep. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
52%
24%
24%
72 75 3 -1
X