Livingston vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUM
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GLA
1 - 1
LIV
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HIB
2 - 1
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
0 - 2
RAI
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
2 - 2
LIV
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 1
ALL
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
GLA
2 - 2
ALL
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 3
FAL
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |