Liverpool vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1978 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
42%
29%
29%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
COV
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
32%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 3
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1978 |
WRE
1 - 3
LIV
9%
25%
67%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
CHL
2 - 2
MUD
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
MUD
1 - 1
BRI
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
MUD
4 - 0
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
IPS
1 - 2
MUD
51%
23%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1978 |
MUD
1 - 2
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |