Liverpool vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
BRA
2 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1912 |
LIV
2 - 0
OLD
72%
17%
12%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
OLD
0 - 1
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 1
MAC
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 2
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |