Liverpool vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
STO
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
64%
19%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
2 - 1
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
DER
4 - 1
LIV
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 0
CHL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1938 |
WOL
1 - 1
CHL
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1938 |
CHL
1 - 1
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1938 |
CHL
3 - 0
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1938 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |