Liverpool vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 1
WOL
69%
17%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1965 |
KOL
0 - 0
LIV
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
LIV
4 - 2
SHW
57%
21%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BPO
2 - 3
LIV
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1965 |
BIR
0 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1965 |
EVE
1 - 1
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 1
SHE
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 0
TOT
28%
22%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |