Liverpool vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
MAC
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
LIV
2 - 1
BBU
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
SUN
5 - 1
LIV
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
LIV
3 - 1
GRI
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
BPO
2 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1947 |
STO
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1947 |
OPA
2 - 4
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1947 |
ASV
4 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |