Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
OLD
2 - 3
LIV
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
LIV
2 - 1
LUT
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1992 |
CRE
0 - 4
LIV
3%
12%
86%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHE
77%
16%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1992 |
QPR
0 - 0
ARS
33%
29%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1992 |
WRE
2 - 1
ARS
14%
23%
64%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1992 |
ARS
1 - 1
WIM
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1991 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |