Liverpool vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
LIV
1 - 3
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
SLA
1 - 2
LIV
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
LIV
1 - 1
COV
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
47%
28%
26%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
LIV
3 - 1
MUD
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
WHU
1 - 0
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
BIR
3 - 1
ARS
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
ARS
0 - 1
DER
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |