Liverpool Montevideo vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LFC
2 - 5
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
REN
2 - 1
LFC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LFC
1 - 0
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LFC
0 - 1
CSC
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
LFC
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 1
MWA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
BVS
1 - 2
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TAC
2 - 3
BVS
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
BVS
2 - 0
FEN
30%
25%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
DEF
1 - 1
BVS
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |