U19 EC Qualifying Ronda de Clasificación round 3

Lithuania U19 vs Bulgaria U19 analysis

Lithuania  U19 Bulgaria U19
32 ELO 44
-1.6% Tilt 2.4%
8326º General ELO ranking 5484º
33º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
23.3%
Lithuania U19
23.4%
Draw
53.2%
Bulgaria U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
Lithuania  U19
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.2%
Win probability
Bulgaria U19
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Lithuania  U19
Bulgaria U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania U19
Lithuania  U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
BEL
Belgium U19
4 - 1
Lithuania  U19
LTU
79%
14%
7%
34 59 25 0
13 Nov. 2024
ENG
England U19
1 - 0
Lithuania  U19
LTU
86%
11%
3%
34 72 38 0
26 Mar. 2024
LTU
Lithuania  U19
2 - 0
France U19
FRA
6%
16%
78%
32 75 43 +2
23 Mar. 2024
BEL
Belgium U19
2 - 0
Lithuania  U19
LTU
80%
14%
6%
32 59 27 0
20 Mar. 2024
NED
Netherlands U19
4 - 0
Lithuania  U19
LTU
81%
13%
6%
32 61 29 0

Matches

Bulgaria U19
Bulgaria U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2024
ENG
England U19
2 - 1
Bulgaria U19
BGR
82%
13%
4%
43 72 29 0
13 Nov. 2024
BGR
Bulgaria U19
1 - 1
Belgium U19
BEL
13%
19%
68%
43 60 17 0
21 Nov. 2023
AND
Andorra U19
2 - 1
Bulgaria U19
BGR
6%
15%
79%
45 15 30 -2
18 Nov. 2023
SRB
Serbia U19
0 - 0
Bulgaria U19
BGR
73%
17%
10%
44 56 12 +1
15 Nov. 2023
BGR
Bulgaria U19
0 - 0
Scotland U19
SCO
26%
22%
52%
44 50 6 0