Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-5
Linfield vs Sachsen Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1967 |
SAC
5 - 1
LIN
69%
18%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1967 |
CSK
1 - 0
LIN
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
LIN
2 - 2
CSK
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1966 |
LIN
1 - 1
VIF
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1966 |
VIF
1 - 4
LIN
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1967 |
SAC
5 - 1
LIN
69%
18%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
KIL
2 - 0
SAC
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
SAC
1 - 0
KIL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAC
83%
10%
6%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
SAC
3 - 1
SLB
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |