Linfield vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
1º
3º
3º
90
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
85 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
8 - 1
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 2
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CLI
2 - 0
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |