Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
CLI
1 - 2
LIN
37%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIN
11%
17%
73%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
LIN
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
INS
2 - 3
DUN
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CRU
5 - 0
DUN
86%
11%
4%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 2
INS
49%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |