RB Linense vs Juventud Torremolinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
18º
15º
16
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
18 | 63 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 58 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 51 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 46 |
10º
|
4% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 45 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 40 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 37 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
9 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 36 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 33 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 26 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 20% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
UCA
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
XER
2 - 2
BAL
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 3
DBN
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
BAL
22%
28%
49%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Torremolinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
AGU
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAD
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
XER
3 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
EST
3 - 3
JUV
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |