Lincoln City vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
DAG
1 - 0
LIN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 3
SUT
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
LIN
6 - 1
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WOK
1 - 3
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
CRE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 1
SOU
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
WOK
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
GAT
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
DAG
3 - 0
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
FLE
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |