Lincoln City vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1894 |
LIN
1 - 1
LIV
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
POR
5 - 3
LIN
47%
21%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1894 |
LIN
2 - 2
POR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1894 |
ARS
4 - 0
LIN
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1894 |
BUR
1 - 3
LIN
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1894 |
NOT
5 - 0
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1894 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOT
21%
21%
59%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
NOT
1 - 0
BBU
33%
23%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1894 |
NOT
4 - 1
NTT
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1894 |
NTT
1 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |