Lincoln City vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
EBB
38%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GAT
1 - 1
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 3
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIN
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
LIN
57%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DAR
5 - 1
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 3
NUN
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 3
HER
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 3
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |