FAI Cup Quarter-finals

Limerick vs Dundalk analysis

Limerick Dundalk
55 ELO 76
7.3% Tilt 16.9%
24415º General ELO ranking 984º
59º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14%
Limerick
18.7%
Draw
67.3%
Dundalk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
Limerick
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.3%
Win probability
Dundalk
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Limerick
Dundalk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Limerick
Limerick
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limerick
0 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
14%
22%
64%
56 77 21 0
24 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limerick
2 - 1
Cabinteely
CAB
65%
20%
16%
56 47 9 0
17 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limerick
1 - 3
Sligo Rovers
SLR
43%
26%
31%
57 60 3 -1
12 Aug. 2018
COC
Cockhill Celtic
0 - 2
Limerick
LIM
5%
10%
85%
57 16 41 0
03 Aug. 2018
BOH
Bohemian FC
5 - 0
Limerick
LIM
44%
26%
31%
58 60 2 -1

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2018
STP
St Patrick's
1 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
21%
21%
58%
77 61 16 0
31 Aug. 2018
LIM
Limerick
0 - 1
Dundalk
DUN
14%
22%
64%
77 56 21 0
28 Aug. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
1 - 2
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
67%
21%
12%
77 67 10 0
24 Aug. 2018
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 0
Finn Harps
FIN
80%
14%
6%
77 57 20 0
20 Aug. 2018
SLR
Sligo Rovers
0 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
16%
23%
61%
77 61 16 0