Lille vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 3
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
TOU
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
AUX
2 - 2
LIL
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
LIL
1 - 1
STL
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
PSG
4 - 1
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ASS
3 - 0
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
ASN
0 - 0
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1980 |
ASS
1 - 0
HSV
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |