Lille vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
REN
5 - 2
LIL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
LYO
1 - 0
LIL
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIL
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
RED
2 - 4
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ANG
1 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
MAR
1 - 1
REN
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |