Ligue 1 round 35

Lille vs Metz analysis

Lille Metz
72 ELO 76
-10.9% Tilt -5.2%
22º General ELO ranking 399º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
44.5%
Lille
28.6%
Draw
26.9%
Metz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
Lille
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.8%
Win probability
Metz
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lille
Metz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 1994
ANG
Angers SCO
1 - 2
Lille
LIL
41%
28%
31%
73 62 11 0
05 Apr. 1994
LIL
Lille
3 - 1
Caen
CAE
45%
28%
27%
72 74 2 +1
02 Apr. 1994
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 3
Lille
LIL
62%
23%
15%
71 80 9 +1
26 Mar. 1994
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Strasbourg
STR
37%
29%
34%
71 76 5 0
11 Mar. 1994
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 0
Lille
LIL
55%
25%
20%
72 74 2 -1

Matches

Metz
Metz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 1994
MET
Metz
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
38%
31%
31%
75 80 5 0
05 Apr. 1994
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 2
Metz
MET
41%
30%
30%
75 70 5 0
02 Apr. 1994
MET
Metz
0 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
40%
30%
30%
75 79 4 0
26 Mar. 1994
PSG
PSG
1 - 0
Metz
MET
66%
22%
12%
76 88 12 -1
13 Mar. 1994
MET
Metz
2 - 0
Nantes
NAN
34%
30%
36%
75 82 7 +1