Champions League Grupo H round 3

Lille vs AEK Athens analysis

Lille AEK Athens
88 ELO 81
-9.8% Tilt -16.5%
46º General ELO ranking 308º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.4%
Lille
23.5%
Draw
15.1%
AEK Athens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
Lille
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.1%
Win probability
AEK Athens
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lille
+3%
+4%
AEK Athens

ELO progression

Lille
AEK Athens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2006
TRO
Troyes
1 - 1
Lille
LIL
28%
29%
44%
88 75 13 0
30 Sep. 2006
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
Nice
NIC
61%
23%
16%
88 82 6 0
26 Sep. 2006
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Milan
ACM
24%
27%
49%
87 95 8 +1
23 Sep. 2006
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
4 - 1
Lille
LIL
64%
21%
15%
88 91 3 -1
19 Sep. 2006
IST
Istres
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
21%
30%
49%
88 65 23 0

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
3 - 1
Ergotelis
ERG
77%
17%
7%
81 57 24 0
26 Sep. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
35%
27%
38%
81 87 6 0
23 Sep. 2006
OLP
Olympiacos
1 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
57%
22%
21%
81 81 0 0
18 Sep. 2006
AEK
AEK Athens
3 - 0
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
49%
26%
26%
81 81 0 0
13 Sep. 2006
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
82%
13%
5%
81 95 14 0