Lille II vs Amiens SC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
29
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIL
4 - 1
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 2
LIL
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 4
FEI
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 0
VAL
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIL
0 - 1
AAC
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Amiens SC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
CHA
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 2
AMI
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
AMI
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
2 - 1
VIM
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |