Lille II vs Amiens AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
13º
7º
19
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 0
LIL
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COM
0 - 3
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 3
USM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IRI
1 - 1
LIL
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 3
LEN
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Amiens AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 2
AMI
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAC
3 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 0
AAC
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AAC
1 - 3
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
AAC
44%
26%
31%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |