Liga de Quito vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BSC
5 - 2
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
LIG
3 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 3
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 3
AUC
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
OLM
0 - 1
LIG
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAO
3%
12%
86%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 1
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
ATL
95%
4%
1%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |