Copa Libertadores Jor. 3

Liga de Quito vs Concepción analysis

Liga de Quito Concepción
74 ELO 61
-4.3% Tilt -9.5%
405º General ELO ranking 3784º
Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
74.7%
Liga de Quito
15.3%
Draw
10%
Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
Liga de Quito
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10%
Win probability
Concepción
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liga de Quito
+7%
+2%
Concepción

ELO progression

Liga de Quito
Concepción
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liga de Quito
Liga de Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 1991
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
55%
22%
23%
74 72 2 0
10 Sep. 1982
COB
Cobreloa
3 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
64%
18%
18%
74 75 1 0
07 Sep. 1982
COL
Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Liga de Quito
LIG
61%
19%
20%
75 74 1 -1
22 Aug. 1982
LIG
Liga de Quito
0 - 0
Cobreloa
COB
60%
20%
20%
75 75 0 0
18 Aug. 1982
LIG
Liga de Quito
2 - 2
Colo-Colo
COL
63%
18%
18%
75 73 2 0

Matches

Concepción
Concepción
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 1991
BSC
Barcelona SC
2 - 2
Concepción
CON
70%
17%
13%
61 70 9 0
26 Feb. 1991
CON
Concepción
1 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
37%
24%
39%
61 72 11 0
20 Feb. 1991
CON
Concepción
0 - 0
Colo-Colo
COL
32%
25%
43%
60 76 16 +1
X