Liga de Quito vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIG
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LIG
5 - 0
IMB
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 2
AUC
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
LIG
24%
28%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 3
JUN
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
BOA
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 4
BOT
9%
21%
69%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAM
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |