Lichtenberg vs MSV Neuruppin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
OPT
0 - 4
LIC
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
LIC
1 - 3
BAB
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NEU
2 - 0
LIC
48%
26%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LIC
2 - 2
SCH
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIC
0 - 1
LIC
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Neuruppin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
MSV
4 - 1
TUR
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
HER
3 - 0
MSV
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 0
BSC
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BAK
1 - 0
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 4
STA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |