Libya vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
6 - 2
NIG
69%
18%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
3 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
0 - 0
SEN
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
LBY
4 - 0
LSO
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
0 - 1
LBY
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
GHA
18%
26%
56%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GAB
2 - 0
GHA
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
LSO
2 - 3
GHA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GHA
3 - 0
LBY
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |