Libertas vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 3
TPE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 1
MUR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SGI
2 - 2
LIB
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
PEN
21%
25%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |