Coppa Titano Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
CAI
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 1
FOL
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FAE
1 - 1
FOL
15%
25%
61%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
4 - 1
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |