Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 4
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BOC
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPO
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AME
2 - 4
OLI
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
12O
3 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |