Libertad vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CCP
3 - 1
JLM
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
RES
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
CCP
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |