Liberia vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CPV
4 - 2
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MLI
2 - 1
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LBR
1 - 1
ZWE
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LBR
0 - 0
DZA
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GMB
3 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CPV
4 - 2
LBR
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CPV
1 - 0
BFA
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
CPV
2 - 1
GNB
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ZWE
0 - 0
CPV
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CPV
1 - 0
MLI
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |