Lebanon vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
KWT
1 - 1
LBN
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
LBN
1 - 3
BHR
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
LBN
0 - 0
KOR
14%
24%
62%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 3
LBN
9%
18%
73%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 3
LBN
9%
18%
73%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KOR
8 - 0
LKA
82%
15%
4%
|
26 | 88 | 62 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAS
6 - 0
LKA
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 2
TKM
12%
19%
70%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |