Nykøbing FC vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
6º
6º
45
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
BFR
4 - 3
LFA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LFA
1 - 2
HOB
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LFA
5 - 2
HIL
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HBK
3 - 1
LFA
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
HOB
3 - 1
LFA
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
FRE
4 - 0
HIL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
BFR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HBK
2 - 2
FRE
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOB
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HIL
1 - 2
FRE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |