Lesotho vs Central African Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 0
LSO
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
NAM
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 2
GAB
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 0
LSO
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 1
MAR
6%
18%
77%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CTA
0 - 4
MAR
3%
14%
84%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
CTA
94%
5%
1%
|
44 | 88 | 44 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GAB
2 - 0
CTA
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CTA
3 - 1
LSO
21%
22%
58%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GHA
4 - 3
CTA
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | -1 |