Lesotho vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
LSO
0 - 0
CIV
10%
21%
69%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
COM
2 - 0
LSO
23%
22%
56%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
LSO
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ETH
1 - 1
LSO
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
SYC
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MWI
2 - 1
ETH
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MWI
84%
13%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MWI
0 - 0
SEN
10%
20%
71%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
MWI
2 - 1
ZIM
25%
27%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |