Lernayin vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
AND
0 - 2
LER
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LER
0 - 2
BKM
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FBI
3 - 3
LER
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
LER
2 - 1
SYU
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
MIK
0 - 2
LER
8%
14%
79%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 3
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 1
ARA
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NIK
1 - 6
ARA
18%
20%
63%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FBI
1 - 1
ARA
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |