AJ Lerez Sub 19 vs Arosa B Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+252%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
16º
5º
5
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 85 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 81 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 70 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 49 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 33 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 25 |
18º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AJ Lerez Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OUR
2 - 0
LER
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LER
2 - 2
URA
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 0
LER
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LER
4 - 0
ALO
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
LER
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa B Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 4
DEP
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
ARO
40%
21%
38%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
6 - 0
POR
47%
22%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
6 - 0
ARO
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
CON
26%
22%
53%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |