AJ Lerez Sub 19 vs Arosa B Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
16º
9º
10
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 84 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 84 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 57 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 27 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
10 | 25 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AJ Lerez Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OUR
2 - 0
LER
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LER
2 - 2
URA
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 0
LER
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LER
4 - 0
ALO
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
LER
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa B Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 4
DEP
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
ARO
40%
21%
38%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
6 - 0
POR
47%
22%
31%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CEL
6 - 0
ARO
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARO
1 - 1
CON
26%
22%
53%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |