Lerchenfeld vs Allschwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
38.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
LER
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 1
LER
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LER
1 - 0
STA
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FBN
4 - 2
LER
11%
15%
73%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LER
0 - 1
PRA
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Allschwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
ALL
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 3
PRA
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 2
ALL
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 3
FCB
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
ALL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |