Leotar vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEO
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 2
TRA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ZVI
4 - 1
LEO
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 1
RUD
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 0
LEO
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ZEL
0 - 3
SIR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SLA
1 - 1
ZEL
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SAR
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ZEL
2 - 1
ZRI
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |