Leones vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
LEO
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RSC
1 - 0
LEO
34%
31%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
AME
3 - 1
LEO
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 0
BOG
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
51%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAR
66%
23%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
4 - 1
FOR
18%
28%
55%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |