Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1974 |
LYO
5 - 1
LEN
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1974 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1974 |
ANG
1 - 2
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1974 |
LEN
4 - 2
NIC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
MET
2 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1974 |
PSG
1 - 1
BAS
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
REN
1 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |