Cup Paulista Fase de Grupos round 8

Lemense vs Desportivo Brasil analysis

Lemense Desportivo Brasil
34 ELO 50
-7.2% Tilt -3.9%
7253º General ELO ranking 4329º
307º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
13.1%
Lemense
18.3%
Draw
68.6%
Desportivo Brasil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
Lemense
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
68.6%
Win probability
Desportivo Brasil
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lemense
+13%
-16%
Desportivo Brasil

ELO progression

Lemense
Desportivo Brasil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lemense
Lemense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 1
Lemense
LEM
64%
21%
14%
33 50 17 0
06 Aug. 2022
LEM
Lemense
1 - 1
XV de Piracicaba
XVD
14%
21%
66%
33 56 23 0
30 Jul. 2022
LEM
Lemense
1 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
16%
22%
63%
32 51 19 +1
23 Jul. 2022
SAO
São Bento
1 - 0
Lemense
LEM
77%
15%
8%
33 54 21 -1
16 Jul. 2022
DES
Desportivo Brasil
2 - 0
Lemense
LEM
67%
19%
14%
33 46 13 0

Matches

Desportivo Brasil
Desportivo Brasil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2022
RIO
Rio Claro
1 - 4
Desportivo Brasil
DES
45%
27%
29%
48 51 3 0
06 Aug. 2022
DES
Desportivo Brasil
1 - 1
Primavera SP
PRI
44%
27%
29%
48 50 2 0
30 Jul. 2022
DES
Desportivo Brasil
2 - 1
São Bento
SAO
30%
27%
43%
47 54 7 +1
21 Jul. 2022
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
3 - 4
Desportivo Brasil
DES
67%
21%
12%
46 57 11 +1
16 Jul. 2022
DES
Desportivo Brasil
2 - 0
Lemense
LEM
67%
19%
14%
46 33 13 0