LaLiga round 13

Leganés vs Sevilla analysis

Leganés Sevilla
82 ELO 89
-11.6% Tilt -18.9%
400º General ELO ranking 60º
26º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
22%
Leganés
24.9%
Draw
53.1%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
Leganés
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.1%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leganés
+7%
-6%
Sevilla

Points and table prediction

Leganés
Their league position
Sevilla
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
19º
18º
15
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barcelona
33
94
64%
Real Madrid
27
91
54.5%
Atlético
26
76
43%
Villarreal
24
74
41.5%
Athletic
20
59
24%
Girona
10º
18
59
23.5%
Real Betis
20
58
19%
Real Sociedad
18
55
16%
Osasuna
21
51
13.5%
Celta
11º
17
50
10º
4%
Sevilla
13º
15
48
11º
9%
Mallorca
18
45
12º
12%
Rayo Vallecano
12º
16
40
13º
9.5%
Valencia
20º
7
38
14º
8%
Deportivo Alavés
15º
13
37
15º
9%
Espanyol
18º
10
37
16º
12%
Getafe
17º
10
34
17º
11%
Leganés
14º
14
34
18º
17%
Las Palmas
16º
12
33
19º
16%
Real Valladolid
19º
9
33
20º
21.5%
Expected probabilities
Leganés
Sevilla
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 1%
Europa League
0% 2%
Conference League knock out round
0% 3.5%
Mid-table
47.5% 91%
Relegation
52.5% 2.5%

ELO progression

Leganés
Sevilla
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leganés
Leganés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
GIR
Girona
4 - 3
Leganés
LEG
77%
16%
8%
81 90 9 0
30 Oct. 2024
CDL
Ciudad de Lucena
1 - 2
Leganés
LEG
6%
19%
76%
82 39 43 -1
27 Oct. 2024
LEG
Leganés
3 - 0
Celta
CEL
22%
23%
55%
81 87 6 +1
20 Oct. 2024
ATM
Atlético
3 - 1
Leganés
LEG
82%
14%
4%
81 96 15 0
10 Oct. 2024
LEG
Leganés
3 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
37%
26%
37%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
41%
28%
32%
90 92 2 0
30 Oct. 2024
LRZ
Las Rozas
0 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
5%
17%
78%
90 37 53 0
25 Oct. 2024
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
30%
26%
44%
90 85 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
77%
15%
8%
90 98 8 0
06 Oct. 2024
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Real Betis
BET
41%
26%
33%
90 91 1 0