LaLiga round 13

Leganés vs Sevilla analysis

Leganés Sevilla
82 ELO 89
-11.6% Tilt -18.9%
399º General ELO ranking 60º
26º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
22.1%
Leganés
24.9%
Draw
53%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
Leganés
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leganés
+7%
-4%
Sevilla

Points and table prediction

Leganés
Their league position
Sevilla
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
19º
18º
15
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barcelona
34
92
62.5%
Real Madrid
27
91
54.5%
Atlético
29
76
49%
Villarreal
24
74
43%
Athletic
20
59
27.5%
Girona
21
59
24%
Real Betis
20
55
17%
Real Sociedad
10º
18
54
12.5%
Celta
11º
18
51
9.5%
Osasuna
21
51
10º
12%
Sevilla
13º
15
48
11º
18%
Mallorca
21
47
12º
13.5%
Valencia
18º
10
43
13º
12%
Rayo Vallecano
12º
16
40
14º
10.5%
Getafe
15º
13
37
15º
10%
Deportivo Alavés
16º
13
37
16º
13.5%
Espanyol
19º
10
37
17º
9%
Leganés
14º
14
34
18º
15.5%
Las Palmas
17º
12
33
19º
18%
Real Valladolid
20º
9
32
20º
37.5%
Expected probabilities
Leganés
Sevilla
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0.5%
Conference League knock out round
0% 3%
Mid-table
46.5% 95.5%
Relegation
53.5% 1%

ELO progression

Leganés
Sevilla
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alavés
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leganés
Leganés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
GIR
Girona
4 - 3
Leganés
LEG
77%
16%
8%
81 90 9 0
30 Oct. 2024
CDL
Ciudad de Lucena
1 - 2
Leganés
LEG
6%
19%
76%
82 39 43 -1
27 Oct. 2024
LEG
Leganés
3 - 0
Celta
CEL
22%
23%
55%
81 87 6 +1
20 Oct. 2024
ATM
Atlético
3 - 1
Leganés
LEG
82%
14%
4%
81 96 15 0
10 Oct. 2024
LEG
Leganés
3 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
37%
26%
37%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2024
SEV
Sevilla
0 - 2
Real Sociedad
RSO
41%
28%
32%
90 92 2 0
30 Oct. 2024
LRZ
Las Rozas
0 - 3
Sevilla
SEV
5%
17%
78%
90 37 53 0
25 Oct. 2024
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
30%
26%
44%
90 85 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
FCB
Barcelona
5 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
77%
15%
8%
90 98 8 0
06 Oct. 2024
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Real Betis
BET
41%
26%
33%
90 91 1 0