Segunda B round 38

Leganés vs Bilbao Ath. analysis

Leganés Bilbao Ath.
58 ELO 55
-7.7% Tilt -6.3%
399º General ELO ranking 2699º
26º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Leganés
26.1%
Draw
20.6%
Bilbao Ath.

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Leganés
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.6%
Win probability
Bilbao Ath.
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leganés
+7%
-2%
Bilbao Ath.

ELO progression

Leganés
Bilbao Ath.
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leganés
Leganés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
SAR
Sariñena
0 - 4
Leganés
LEG
14%
25%
61%
58 36 22 0
27 Apr. 2014
LEG
Leganés
1 - 1
CD Toledo
CDT
59%
24%
18%
58 52 6 0
20 Apr. 2014
LPA
Las Palmas At.
1 - 1
Leganés
LEG
37%
27%
36%
58 51 7 0
13 Apr. 2014
LEG
Leganés
3 - 0
Tudelano
TUD
59%
23%
18%
57 49 8 +1
05 Apr. 2014
GET
Getafe B
0 - 2
Leganés
LEG
22%
27%
51%
57 43 14 0

Matches

Bilbao Ath.
Bilbao Ath.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2014
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
4 - 0
Puerta Bonita
PBO
76%
16%
8%
55 39 16 0
27 Apr. 2014
FUE
Fuenlabrada
1 - 0
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
40%
28%
32%
56 51 5 -1
19 Apr. 2014
ATH
Bilbao Ath.
5 - 0
SD Amorebieta
SDA
66%
20%
14%
55 48 7 +1
12 Apr. 2014
RUN
Real Unión Club
1 - 0
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
32%
28%
40%
55 46 9 0
05 Apr. 2014
BAR
Barakaldo
0 - 1
Bilbao Ath.
ATH
37%
29%
35%
55 50 5 0